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Rabu, 01 September 2021

COVID-19 created lots of supply chain problems — and they're nowhere close to being solved - CBC.ca

When the COVID-19 pandemic began, the immediate health crisis was just the first of a long line of problems that tech company Voltera had to overcome.

The Kitchener, Ont.-based circuit board printer maker was still recovering from an aluminum shortage when the pandemic grounded international commercial flights Voltera relies on to ship products, so it switched to slower ocean freighters.

Costs began to soar as demand for shipping services surged. Voltera then started having difficulty acquiring certain parts after its plastic manufacturer was contracted by the U.S. government for COVID materials. On top of that, a shortage of semiconductors materialized.

"It was like popping holes in a boat," recalled Shawn Baron, Voltera's operations manager.

Voltera's experience is similar to what other Canadian tech companies faced as the pandemic upended global manufacturing processes, shipping times and supply chains.

They predict it will be months — at the very least — until their processes are back to normal and warn it will take even longer to make up for lost profits and elevated costs.

Baron said Voltera's sales took a 20 per cent hit compared to 2019 and though his company absorbed that blow, he believes others will be dealing with COVID-19 ripple effects for a long time.

Microchip shortage will continue into 2022

Experts are predicting it will take years to clear the shortage of semiconductors, known as chips, that emerged when people purchased more gadgets for their increased time at home, factories closed to quell the disease, a Japanese plant was engulfed by fire and a Texas facility was shut down by a cold snap.

Apple has warned the shortage could cut $4 billion from its sales; General Motors temporarily laid off 1,500 workers at its Ingersoll, Ont., plant because of the lack of chips its vehicles require; and Canadian toymaker Spin Master Corp. previously said it was considering price increases to deal with the situation.

Numerous Canadian car plants have been temporarily shut down because automakers can't find enough microchips to build the same number of vehicles they normally do. (Dave Chidley/The Canadian Press/The Associated Press)

Shipping is also experiencing upheaval. The Drewry World Container Index shows the rate to move a container from Rotterdam in the Netherlands to New York reached $1,142 US this week and surged by 107 per cent since last year. The Shanghai-Rotterdam route was even more expensive at $13,787 US, up 637 per cent from last year.

"And the container price itself is only a part of our total shipping cost," said David Coode, the chief executive officer at Sera4, an industrial keyless lock company based in Waterloo, Ont.

"We have the port fees, the loading fees, the customs and brokerage clearance and all of those things."

He's seen shipping costs triple and quadruple, has heard of containers surging from $2,000 to $15,000 each and said insurance is on the rise, too.

To add to the headaches, one of the world's busiest cargo ports, Ningbo-Zhoushan in eastern China, partially closed in recent weeks to deal with a COVID-19 outbreak, causing port delays many expect to stretch into next year.

'I don't know when that's going to get back to normal'​​​​​​​ - Sera4 CEO David Coode on supply chain issues

The closure comes after roughly 1,150 dock workers at the Port of Montreal staged a strike in March, massive cargo ships were sitting at anchor in California as staff struggled to keep up with unloading in April and a blockage in the Suez Canal snarled transport times during the spring.

Sera4 uses ports in South Africa often, but found during and after the Suez blockage others started diverting their shipments there, too.

"Those ports got clogged and the knock-on effect was really, really difficult," Coode said.

"I don't know when that's going to get back to normal."

Even those who stuck with or switched to air freight were not unscathed.

The Baltic Exchange Air Freight Index, which tracks global air freight capacity and prices, found rates on Hong Kong to U.S. routes averaged $8.70 US per kilogram in May, the highest they had been all year. The price has since slipped to $7.90 US per kilogram in July, but remains about double the $3.44 US per kilogram rate shippers paid in the summer of 2019.

The Ever Given cargo ship blocking the Suez Canal for a week last spring exacerbated supply chain problems plaguing businesses around the world. (Reuters)

Those who were willing to pay those prices also had to contend with a lack of capacity because fewer commercial planes in the air during lockdowns meant less space for goods.

Bottlenecks continue

Supply chain problems are common and the product of years of strict and long production networks spread out over vast distances, said Dan Breznitz.

The University of Toronto professor and Munk chair of innovation studies said companies would benefit from shorter and more regional networks, but business leaders seldom pursue them because of prices, competition and comfort.

"Everything we have opted not to remember and not to be aware of comes to haunt us now," he said.

"Companies suddenly realized that things that they thought are mundane and that they shouldn't worry about, like who produces what and where, are suddenly things that became critical."

When one region specializes in certain parts or products for much of the world, one hiccup can impact entire industries and fixing a snafu can be costly and time consuming, Breznitz said.

He hopes Canada will analyze issues highlighted by the pandemic and try to address them.

The U.S., for example, is mapping out its supply chains. The goal, said Breznitz, isn't to completely replace products or parts from popular manufacturing countries like China and India, but find ways to bring some of those capabilities to the U.S.

Breznitz thinks Canada should join in and create a North American supply chain plan.

"We want to make sure this is an opportunity of a lifetime," he said. "But that will not happen without co-ordination and thinking."

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11 Top TSX Stock Picks for September 2021 - The Motley Fool Canada

We asked our Foolish writers for their top ideas for September. Here are their picks:

Chris MacDonald: Manulife

My top stock for September is Manulife (TSX:MFC)(NYSE:MFC). This top insurance player is among the biggest players in Canada, with a growing market share in key growth markets abroad, particularly China.

Given a resurgence in higher bond yields, the longer-term earnings prospects of Manulife have improved. This insurance player currently trades at a significant discount to peers in the financials space, providing great value for long-term investors.

As far as top value stocks with excellent leverage to the pandemic recovery, Manulife remains a top pick of mine. This is a stock I think has tremendous value in September and beyond.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Amy Legate-Wolfe: NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

The economic recovery may be slow, but it’s there. NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT (TSX:NWH.UN) continues to run strong. The company saw revenue skyrocket during the pandemic, as one of the very few real estate investment trusts (REITs) that provided essential services. NorthWest then used the low interest rate environment to renew lease agreements and bring in new properties — even an Australian healthcare REIT!

Yet despite this and its dividend yield of 6.16%, shares are only up 7% year to date, and it continues trade at a P/E ratio of 9.28. Given that healthcare REITS are immune to global inflation, that makes them in high demand moving forward. And NorthWest currently boasts a global 97% occupancy rate with a 14.3 year average lease agreement! So, while investors may have to be patient for share growth, it won’t be for long. Meanwhile, you can bring in this solid dividend yield for guaranteed passive income.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe owns shares of NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT.

Ambrose O’Callaghan: Suncor Energy

My top stock for September is Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU). Shares of this Canadian energy heavyweight had dropped 7.6% month over month as of close on August 26. However, it has delivered much-improved earnings in 2021. The rise of the Delta variant remains a concern when it comes to demand, but I’m bullish on the energy sector going forward.

Suncor posted a profit of $868 million in Q2 2021. Meanwhile, its production enjoyed a significant uptick, even in the face of planned maintenance. This stock last had a price-to-earnings ratio of 23, putting it in solid value territory relative to its industry peers. It offers a quarterly dividend of $0.21 per share, representing a 3.5% yield. I’m looking to snatch up this super energy stock on the dip before the summer ends.

Fool contributor Ambrose O’Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Nicholas Dobroruka: goeasy

My top stock for the month of September is goeasy (TSX:GSY).

This $3 billion company might be one of the best-kept secrets on the TSX. Shares are up close to 100% year to date and more than 800% over the past five years.

Some investors may be hesitant to buy during such a strong bull run, but I’m as bullish as ever on goeasy. The reopening of the country could send the growth stock surging even higher over the next couple of months.

goeasy is a consumer-facing financial services company. It provides Canadians with all types of home, auto, and personal loans. So, if consumer spending begins to rise as the country slowly reopens, I think it’s a safe bet to say that goeasy revenue will be rising too.

The best part is, goeasy stock is trading at a discount compared to many other Canadian growth stocks right now. Shares are trading at a bargain price of a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 15.

Fool contributor Nicholas Dobroruka has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Jed Lloren: Nuvei 

My top stock for September is Nuvei (TSX:NVEI). This is a stock that has intrigued me since its IPO. Of all the industries to invest in, I am most fascinated by the potential growth of the e-commerce industry. While Nuvei doesn’t operate in that industry per se, it is highly exposed to it due to its business as a payment processor. As more retail spending continues to flow into these online streams, Nuvei is poised to benefit.

In its latest earnings presentation, the company reported that its total volume processed in Q2 2021 was 146% greater than its processed volume in Q2 2020. This translated into a 114% year-over-year increase in Nuvei’s quarterly revenue. Already present in 200 global markets, Nuvei is well positioned for continued growth in the future.

Fool contributor Jed Lloren has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Robin Brown: Sangoma Technologies

Sangoma Technologies (TSXV:STC) is a one-stop shop for unified communications-as-a-service solutions across the world. This stock has pulled back 38% from highs set earlier this year.

Yet this company is in excellent shape. It just acquired a similar-sized peer in the United States. This should significantly broaden its cloud services platform. Likewise, Sangoma expects to see higher gross margins and expanded recurring revenues (over 70%).

The company expects to grow revenues and EBITDA in fiscal 2021 by 26% and 40%, respectively. Despite strong growth and profitability, this stock trades at fraction of larger, unprofitable peers. Hence, this stock could enjoy the double-edged combination of rising earnings and higher valuation multiples in years to come.

Fool contributor Robin Brown owns shares of Sangoma Technologies.

­­­­­­Kay Ng: Canadian Net REIT

Nothing beats having the reassurance of earning safe passive income every month. Canadian Net REIT (TSXV:NET.UN) is a Canadian Dividend Aristocrat with a track record of cash distribution increases.

Recently, it had shown signs of accelerated dividend growth. Its five-year dividend-growth rate is 13%, including this year’s cash distribution hike of 17%.

Canadian Net REIT maintains a high occupancy rate of 99%. It has benefited from a low interest rate environment. Last quarter, its weighted average interest rate on fixed loans and mortgages was 3.4% versus 3.7% a year ago.

It’s still a small REIT with $232 million of assets and lots of room to grow. With a safe yield of about 3.9%, the undervalued monthly dividend stock is a great buy for passive income in a TFSA.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Canadian Net REIT.

Stephanie Bedard-Chateauneuf: Spin Master

Spin Master (TSX:TOY) is my top TSX stock for September.

The toymaker posted higher earnings for its most recent quarter, as revenue climbed 39% on better-selling products from Paw Patrol, Gabby’s Dollhouse, and Present Pets as well as strong revenues for its digital games.

The Toronto-based company reported a net profit of US$33.5 million (US$0.32 per share) for the quarter ended June 30 compared with a net loss of US$14.9 million (US$0.15 per share) in the prior-year quarter.

According to Spin Master’s president and CEO Max Rangel, the company is well positioned for the second half of 2021, with a strong toy lineup, growth in its digital game franchises, and the release of the movie Paw Patrol: The Movie. Spin Master’s first foray into the film business is expected to boost toy sales as well as licensing and merchandising revenue.

Fool contributor Stephanie Bedard-Chateauneuf has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Puja Tayal: Suncor Energy

My top TSX stock pick for September is Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU). This stock has dipped 22% since July 5, as rising Delta variant cases created hiccups in the global recovery. Moreover, a decline in oil price and production issues at Suncor’s Fort Hills oil sands mine put downward pressure on the stock.

But these are temporary issues. There is pent-up demand for travel, and it is reflected in Suncor’s second-quarter earnings. As the fourth wave eases, the recovery could return. Suncor stock could recoup the two-month loss and surge more than 20% back to the July level of over $30.

Fool contributor Puja Tayal has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Vineet Kulkarni: Canadian Natural Resources

Shares of Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ)(NYSE:CNQ), Canada’s biggest energy company by market cap, have been on a downtrend for the last few months. Fears of reopening delays weighed on energy commodities and on CNQ stock as well. However, this could be a valuable opportunity for discerning investors.

Canadian Natural will likely see stellar earnings growth in the second half of 2021, driven by higher production and higher oil prices as against last year. Moreover, its lower breakeven costs allows huge free cash flow growth even at current oil prices. So, once the Delta variant fears subside, CNQ stock should resume its upward climb.

Apart from its superior capital gain prospects, CNQ offers a juicy yield of nearly 5%. Investors can expect consistent dividend growth from the energy giant driven by its robust balance sheet and strong financial growth.

Fool contributor Vineet Kulkarni has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Demetris Afxentiou: Fortis

The growing need to diversify your portfolio to counter volatility has never been greater. That’s just one reason why my pick for this month is Fortis (TSX:FTS)(NYSE:FTS).

Fortis is one of the most defensive picks on the market. In terms of size, the utility behemoth is one of the largest on the continent, with operations across 10 different operating regions. Fortis also boasts over 3.4 million utility customers across both electric and gas segments. If that weren’t enough, keep in mind that utilities generate a stable revenue stream backed by long-term regulated contracts.

Fortis’s immense size coupled with a very reliable and stable business model make it a great defensive pick in an increasingly volatile market.

Adding to that appeal is Fortis’s dividend. The current yield works out to a juicy 3.52%. Even better, Fortis has provided investors with annual bumps to that dividend for over 47 consecutive years. The company is also extending that guidance through 2025, making Fortis a perfect defensive option (and a future Dividend King) for your portfolio.

Fool contributor Demetris Afxentiou owns shares of Fortis.

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11 Top TSX Stock Picks for September 2021 - The Motley Fool Canada
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New Brunswick decides not to formally enshrine new Truth and Reconciliation holiday - CBC.ca

With only 29 days before Canada's inaugural National Day for Truth and Reconciliation, New Brunswick has decided not to make it a provincial holiday. 

That means employers are not obligated to give the day off. 

All provincial services, including schools, will be business as usual on Sept. 30, while all private companies will have to decide whether to close and give employees the day off. 

In making the announcement Tuesday, Premier Blaine Higgs urged New Brunswickers to take time to reflect.

"Our government encourages everyone to use this day as an opportunity to consider what each of us can do as individuals to advance reconciliation and help to create a better, more inclusive province" he said in the statement emailed to CBC. "While September 30th will be observed in New Brunswick, it will not be a statutory holiday."

In June, the federal government passed legislation to make Sept. 30 a federal statutory holiday, which was one of the 94 calls to action from the Truth and Reconciliation Commission.

In June, Federal Heritage Minister Steven Guilbeault told the Senate the objective of the new holiday is to create an opportunity for Canadians to learn about and reflect on a dark chapter in their country's history and to commemorate the survivors, their families and their communities — as called for by the Truth and Reconciliation Commission and Indigenous leaders. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

The decision means all federally regulated employees will be entitled to a paid day off. 

Everyone else is governed by provincial employment laws, so by failing to make it a provincial holiday, New Brunswick has left the decision to individual employers, according to Fredericton employment lawyer Jessica Bungay.

"There is no legal requirement for it to be a holiday for employers that are provincially regulated, and that would be most employers in New Brunswick or in Atlantic Canada," she said. 

"I know that some businesses are making the choice to close their businesses on Sept. 30, despite the fact that they are provincially regulated and it is not a required holiday for them." 

The president of the largest union within New Brunswick's civil service said they had been waiting for official word from the province. 

"We have brought it up to government, but we have not been given official word on whether or not they will honour the day," Susie Proulx-Daigle said in a statement emailed Tuesday before the premier's announcement. 

"Given that it is recognized as a national holiday and the significance behind the day, we expect it to be honoured at a provincial level."

Business owners have been waiting

Private businesses were also waiting for direction from the province, said John Wishart, CEO of the Chamber of Commerce for Greater Moncton. 

"The federal government has recognized it and declared it a federal statutory holiday, but that does not imply that you need to observe it in New Brunswick."

He said businesses are now left with the decision of how to observe the day — "whether you observe it with a workplace moment of silence or recognition ceremony or that sort of thing, or whether you decide to close your doors." 

Individual municipalities to make the call

St. George had already decided to observe the holiday officially, explained chief administrative officer Jason Gaudet. All town offices will be closed and employees will be paid for the day off. 

Fredericton and Moncton, meanwhile, aren't publicly saying what they plan to do, while Saint John officials did not acknowledge the request for information emailed on Monday. 

Shasta Stairs, the communications co-ordinator for Fredericton, said, "We're currently reviewing future policies around the new federal holiday on Sept. 30 with the intent to bring forward a recommendation to council in the coming weeks."

Moncton will be informing its employees "shortly," according to Isabelle LeBlanc, the director of communications for the City of Moncton. 

"It would not be appropriate to discuss this topic without having informed them first," LeBlanc wrote in an email. 

A day to reflect

Whether you get the day off or not, the executive director of the Atlantic Policy Congress of First Nations Chiefs Secretariat said he'd like people to take time to commemorate the day as it was intended — an opportunity to reflect on truth and reconciliation and the legacy of residential schools.

"It's a day to reflect, basically, and even if you don't have the day off, you just reflect about why the holiday was created," said John G. Paul.

John G. Paul, the executive director of the Atlantic Policy Congress of First Nations Chiefs Secretariat, would eventually like to see Sept. 30 become a paid holiday for all employees, not just federally regulated ones. (Atlantic Policy Congress of First Nations Chiefs Secretariat)

He said he hopes the day evolves into an opportunity to remember, similar to Remembrance Day for veterans. And eventually, he said he'd like the day to be a paid holiday for all workers, not just federally regulated ones. 

"I'm hoping this day becomes a sombre memory of what occurred to Indigenous people across Canada," said Paul. 

Schools open for Orange Shirt Day

Schools will remain open, providing "the education system an additional opportunity for students and teachers to have open discussions about First Nations history and realities," said Education Department spokesperson Danielle Elliott. 

Sept. 30 has become Orange Shirt day in recent years, and "we've been pleased with the high rates of participation across the school system, including outstanding projects and discussions about Orange Shirt Day," Elliott said.

"We strongly encourage students and educators across the province to participate in Orange Shirt Day and promote an understanding of the immense impact these schools continue to have on First Nation peoples and work to promote inclusion and diversity across the education system."

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Here's how much more likely you are to end up in hospital with COVID-19 if you aren't vaccinated: B.C. data - CTV News Vancouver

VANCOUVER -- With COVID-19 case counts on a steady rise in B.C., health officials in the province are once again warning of the risk of remaining unvaccinated.

Dr. Bonnie Henry and Health Minister Adrian Dix released the latest COVID-19 modelling data in a news conference Tuesday.

Part of the data the pair released suggested the province is "in a pandemic of the unvaccinated," health officials said.

"What we are seeing is these vaccines are very protective of across all age groups," Henry said. "This has become a pandemic that is spreading rapidly amongst pockets of people who are unvaccinated."

In fact, the data – adjusted for age difference – indicates people who are unvaccinated are 12 times more likely to get COVID-19 than those who have had two vaccine doses. The data also suggested people who are unvaccinated are 34 times more likely to require hospitalization if they get COVID-19 than those who are fully vaccinated.

In other words, unvaccinated people are 34 more times more likely to be hospitalized compared to fully vaccinated people their age.

"This is important because adjusting for age, we know that our ability to develop response to the vaccine is dependent on age and our chances of having serious outcomes if we do get infected with COVID-19 is also related to age," Henry explained.

Over the past month, between July 30 and Aug. 26, fully vaccinated individuals made up 13 per cent of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the province. Fifteen per cent of the cases were among those who were fully vaccinated, even though, as of Aug. 26, more than 75 per cent of eligible B.C. residents had two shots.

However, health officials said 35 per cent of deaths related to the coronavirus are among fully vaccinated people. Officials explained that's because most of the deaths among fully vaccinated people are people aged 80 and older whose immune response to the vaccine isn't as strong.

"Once this virus, particularly this highly transmissible strain that we're seeing circulating in B.C. now, gets into long-term care homes, even older fully vaccinated people can become ill and can die from it," Henry said.

Officials indicated that's why it's important for those in contact with people in that age category – like workers and visitors of long-term care homes – be vaccinated.

Even so, people who are unvaccinated are still eight times more likely to die from COVID-19 than those who get COVID-19 with two shots, the age-adjusted data suggested. 

COVID-19 modelling B.C.

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Here's how much more likely you are to end up in hospital with COVID-19 if you aren't vaccinated: B.C. data - CTV News Vancouver
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API Reports Larger-Than-Expected Crude Draw Ahead Of Key OPEC Meeting - OilPrice.com

Julianne Geiger

Julianne Geiger

Julianne Geiger is a veteran editor, writer and researcher for Oilprice.com, and a member of the Creative Professionals Networking Group.

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The American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday reported a large draw in crude oil inventories of 4.045 million barrels for the week ending August 27, bringing the total 2021 crude draw so far to more than 62 million barrels, using API data.

Analysts had expected a loss of 2.833 million barrels for the week.

In the previous week, the API reported a draw in oil inventories of 1.622 million barrels—a loss smaller than the 2.367 million barrel draw that analysts had predicted.

Oil prices fell on Tuesday leading up to a critical OPEC meeting on Wednesday that will essentially decide the short-term fate of the oil market. OPEC will review the merits of its plan that calls for an additional 400,000 barrels of oil production per day to be returned to the market each month.

WTI fell 0.59% on Tuesday afternoon leading up to the data release.

At 12:28 p.m. EST, WTI was trading at $68.80—a $1 gain on the week. Brent crude was trading down 0.56% for the day at $73.00.

API

While U.S. crude oil stocks continue their decline, U.S. oil production stayed at  11.4 million bpd for the second week in a row.

The API reported a build in gasoline inventories of 2.711 million barrels for the week ending August 27—compared to the previous week's 985,000-barrel draw.

Distillate stocks saw a decrease in inventories this week of 1.961 million barrels for the week, compared to last week's 245,000-barrel decrease.

Cushing inventories rose this week by 2.128 million barrels, after last week's 485,000-barrel decrease.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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While Markets Are at Record Highs, These Top TSX Stocks Trade in the Bear Zone - The Motley Fool Canada

Canadian markets have gained almost 20% this year. While market bulls have been riding high for more than 18-odd months now, some TSX stocks have recently entered a bear zone. Here are five popular Canadian names that corrected 20% or more from their recent highs.

Ballard Power Systems

Ballard Power (TSX:BLDP)(NASDAQ:BLDP) stock has been trading in the bear zone for a while. It has dropped 60% since its 52-week high in February, and there have been no signs of revival.

Ballard Power’s weaker financial performance in the recent quarters weighed on its stock. Though fuel cells have gained traction in the last few years, it has been comparatively slower. Sustained corporate profitability still seems like a distant dream. BLDP might continue to trade subdued until its quarterly revenue growth gains steam.

Air Canada

Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock obtained a strong momentum early this year. However, mutating variants of the coronavirus and fears of reopening delays dented the stock. As a result, AC stock has fallen 21% from its 52-week high of $31 in March 2021.

Notably, I am optimistic about Air Canada’s recovery, because of its strong balance sheet, leading market share, and expected higher demand in the post-pandemic world. The flag carrier could gain momentum again and create robust wealth for its shareholders. Even if AC stock looks bleak in the short term, it will likely outperform markets in the long term.

B2Gold

Bulls and gold miner stocks have parted ways long back, and there has been no upturn. Canadian miner B2Gold (TSX:BTO)(NYSE:BTG) stock has dropped 25% since May 2021 and 50% since its 52-week high last year.

The yellow metal has been trading weak this year amid the encouraging global economic growth. Apart from gold prices, lower production and muted financial growth in the first half of 2021 negatively impacted B2Gold stock.

However, if you are looking for gold or gold miner stocks, B2Gold is a decent bet. Its discounted valuation, high-quality, low-cost assets, and decent dividend make it an exciting investment proposition for long-term investors.

Maxar Technologies

The space technology stock Maxar Technologies (TSX:MAXR)(NYSE:MAXR) is down 45% since its record highs of $74 this February. Valuation concerns and weaker-than-expected financial growth weighed on the stock this year.

It is a $3 billion company that provides space technology solutions and offers services like robotics, earth imagery, and geospatial data analytics and insights.

Though the company has an unstable bottom line, Maxar is one established name in the otherwise nascent space tech area. It has a recurring revenue base with multi-year contracts with the public as well as private sector customers.

Absolute Software

Absolute Software (TSX:ABST)(NASDAQ:ABST) stock has been trading weak since its weaker quarterly numbers early this month. Higher selling and administration expenses dented its bottom line during fiscal Q4, which started the stock’s downfall.

However, Absolute expects 12% top-line growth in fiscal 2022, way higher than its historical average. It provides endpoint security platforms and data risk management solutions to its customers.

Notably, higher spending on digital security should play well for Absolute. In addition, growing addressable market and product base expansion could lead to stable financial growth for the company in the long term.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

The Motley Fool recommends Absolute Software Corporation and MAXAR TECHNOLOGIES LTD. Fool contributor Vineet Kulkarni has no position in the companies mentioned.

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Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

Canada's economy posts surprise second-quarter contraction, casting shadow over recovery - The Globe and Mail

Shipping containers at the Port of Montreal, on May 17.

CHRISTINNE MUSCHI/Reuters

The Canadian economy suffered a shock contraction in the second quarter and the summer reopening is off to a rocky start, casting a shadow over the country’s recovery process.

Exports were slammed from April to June, a direct consequence of global supply-chain disruptions. Key materials are in short supply, freight rates have surged to records, and container ships wait days to unload at ports, leading to incessant headaches for companies.

Those challenging dynamics are poised to continue for some time, particularly as the Delta variant of COVID-19 spreads widely among key trading partners in the Asia-Pacific region.

Exports fell at a 15-per-cent annualized rate in the second quarter, with particular weakness in the auto industry, which has slashed production due to a shortage of computer chips.

In turn, real gross domestic product fell 0.3 per cent in the second quarter, or an annualized drop of 1.1 per cent, Statistics Canada reported Tuesday. Analysts were expecting an expansion of 2.5 per cent annualized, while the Bank of Canada called for 2 per cent in July.

It was the first quarterly decline in output since the second quarter of 2020, when COVID-19 began to ravage the economy, and precedes a test from the Delta variant.

Making matters worse, Statscan said real GDP dropped 0.4 per cent in July, giving back about half of June’s gain, according to a preliminary estimate that surprised those on Bay Street, who were expecting a healthy start to summer as Canadians unleashed their pent-up savings.

“It was quite a bit weaker than expected,” Stephen Brown, senior Canada economist at Capital Economics, said of Tuesday’s report. “The key message here is that perhaps the recovery isn’t as strong as economists have thought.”

The housing sector was another weak spot. Residential investment fell 12.4 per cent annualized in the second quarter. That was entirely due to a steep drop in ownership transfer costs, or those associated with the transfer of residential homes between people. Home resale activity has cooled from record heights in major markets across the country.

Housing and exports more than offset a bounceback in business investment, which expanded by 12.1 per cent annualized as companies ploughed money into machinery and equipment.

With many restrictions in place last quarter, Canadians stashed away plenty of cash, sending the household savings rate up to 14.2 per cent from 13 per cent. Household consumption barely budged, though excess bank deposits have surged more than $200-billion over the health crisis.

That’s fuelled the expectation that Canadians can spend heavily to support the recovery as COVID-19 restrictions are relaxed, with notable gains in the summer reopening.

A potential trouble, however, is that supply troubles are keeping a lid on what consumers can possibly spend, Mr. Brown said.

“If you’re looking for certain electronics, you just can’t get them at the moment,” he noted. “That is another reason why it could take longer for GDP to fully recover.”

Following Tuesday’s surprise, Bay Street was forced to rip up their forecasts. For one, Bank of Montreal now expects a GDP expansion of 5 per cent in 2021, down from 6 per cent.

“Remember all the commentary about how well the Canadian economy had dealt with the third wave restrictions during the spring? And how businesses and consumers had learned how to operate amid the virus?” said BMO chief economist Doug Porter. “Well, the reality appears to have been much less constructive, with widespread supply chain issues also causing havoc with growth in the quarter.”

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